白酒板块，中秋国庆婚宴等宴席需求反弹，带动中秋国庆期间白酒动销情况好于预期。古井三季度打款进度已达85%，预计三季度收入端增速为10-15%左右。乳制品板块，原奶价格持续上涨，乳制品企业整体促销活动力度环比减弱。三季度常温白奶普遍延续二季度高增态势，低温巴氏奶环比提速，酸奶消费逐步恢复，预计伊利三季度收入端增速为15-20%，光明三季度收入端增速为10-15%。

The global functional food market is segmented on the basis of ingredient, product, application, and region. By Ingredient, it is categorized into probiotics, minerals, proteins & amino acids, prebiotics & dietary fibers, and others. By product, it is divided into bakery & cereals, dairy products, meat, fish & eggs, soy products, fats & oils and others. By Application, it is categorized into sports nutrition, weight management, clinical nutrition, cardio health, others. Region wise, it is analyzed across North America (the U.S., Canada, and Mexico), Europe (Germany, the UK, France, Russia, Italy, Spain, Rest Of Europe), Asia-Pacific (China, India, Japan, Australia, South Korea, Rest of Asia-Pacific), and LAMEA (Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa). Further, the report also covers strategies adopted by key market players to sustain the competitive environment and increase their market share. Unilever, Sanitarium Health & Wellbeing Company, Royal Friesland Campina, Raisio Group, Standard Functional Foods Group, Inc., Nestle S.A., Murray Goulburn, Meiji Group, Glanbia Plc., and Kraft Foods Inc. are some of the major players discussed in the report, which cater to the functional Food market.

The disruption of lactose-free dairy products has brought about a high product diversity in this category of dairy products. One of the most upcoming products is the lactose-free ice-cream product category. This product is still at a very nascent stage. Most of the lactose intolerant population is still adapting to the basic dairy products, such as lactose-free milk, lactose-free yogurt, among others. The addition of lactose-free ice creams to the overall lactose-free dairy product portfolio has come as a breakthrough for those with acute lactose intolerance, removing their dependence on traditional dairy products. Although, very limited players in the market offer lactose-free ice-creams, many established players are gradually exploring opportunities in this category. Key players that offer lactose-free ice-creams are Breyers (U.S.), Arctic Zero (U.S.), Beckon Ice Cream (U.S.), Arla Foods (Denmark), Lactaid (U.S.), Natrel (Canada), and Peter's Ice Cream (Australia), among others.

行业评级及投资策略：休闲零食电商步入中速增长时期，三强格局稳定。龙头线上增速亮眼，线下布局积极推进。未来行业中短期来看是线上龙头的份额争夺，中长期来看是龙头竞争优势的比拼。短期来看，休闲零食电商行业空间依旧存潜力，随着品类调整等动作，预期净利率可有提升，我们给予行业“推荐”评级。

国家统计局10 月19 日公布的数据显示：2020 年1-9 月份，社会消费品零售总额273324 亿元，同比下降7.2%。其中，除汽车以外的消费品零售额246588 亿元，下降7.2%。

白酒终端需求回暖，动销环比改善，三季度收入、业绩预计环比加速增长，展望四季度，消费氛围基本恢复，白酒动销仍将保持良性势头，首推高端（茅、五、泸），推荐业绩确定性高的次高端龙头汾酒、今世缘、古井，关注洋河、顺鑫低估值修复机会。大众品动销恢复正常，预计报表增速回归常态，盈利能力继续提升，建议持有刚需品种，紧盯未来1-2 个季度低基数业绩改善品种，寻找1-2 年成长属性偏向品种，包括管理变革赋能及赛道属性赋能的标的。

投资建议：步入业绩验证期，首选白酒及乳业，把握啤酒配置时机。在较高估值水平背景下，板块进入三季报检验期。前期受疫情压制的板块需求加速恢复，报表将延续改善趋势，结合板块内估值对比，白酒和乳业仍是当下首选。而啤酒经历前期估值回落后，安全边际已突出，当前又到布局时点。

推荐个股：白酒：贵州茅台、今世缘、口子窖、古井贡酒、金徽酒、五粮液、泸州老窖、洋河股份、山西汾酒等；大众品：伊利股份、百润股份、安井食品、洽洽食品、安琪酵母、克明面业、涪陵榨菜、恒顺醋业。

全网分析：中秋月饼销售+线上消费培养，9 月行业销售高增，去年的高基数影响逐步减弱，预计10 月恢复正常。

2020年9月市场普遍下跌，食品饮料指数下跌9.18%，落后沪深300指数9.14个百分点，在申万28个一级行业中排名倒数第6。子板块仅其他酒类实现上涨，啤酒、白酒跌幅较小。截至2020年9月30日，板块整体市盈率TTM为45.62倍，相对沪深300指数的溢价率为251.11%，处于历史高位。