我们判断，海南岛作为海上丝绸之路的桥头堡将成为板块近年来最大的主题投资。从政策角度分析，海南岛国际化发展融入一带一路已是国家层面未来发展的重要战略，政策加持促进城市建设必将高速发展。

上市公司层面休闲度假增速不及预期，休闲度假游仍为未来的发展重点：传统观光景区的游客人次及人均消费均存在一定瓶颈，休闲度假游从需求和供给的角度来看都将成为未来旅游的发展重点。国内现阶段的观光游为主要模式，在观光游的基础上增设休闲度假设施是现如今传统景点升级的路径。

9 月餐饮旅游板块兑现旺季补涨行情，10 月将迎来三季报集中披露，业绩优质个股将再次获得催化。从基本面跟踪来看，酒店龙头 Q3 的 RevPAR 增长进一步扩大，将确保 Q3 业绩继续呈现强劲增势，业绩确定性也相对较强；Q3 三亚免税销售额同样增长较好，国旅业绩值得期待；出境游和景区整体景气度一般，但优质个股仍有超额收益机会。我们继续推荐旅游四朵金花组合：首旅酒店、锦江股份、中国国旅、凯撒旅游。 

In the global commercial cooking equipment market, the ovens segment will register the fastest CAGR of 7.42% during the forecast period. Ovens are an important part of commercial kitchens, and most foodservice establishments are equipped with different types of commercial ovens as per the requirement. The increase in the number of foodservice establishments using ovens will drive the growth of the ovens segment.For instance, in early 2016, Paris Baguette USA announced its plans to open its stores in more than 350 locations in the US by the end of 2020.

根据国内旅游抽样调查结果，2017 年上半年，三游数据均略高于年初预期。实现国内旅游收入达 2.17 万亿元，同比增长 15.8%。由于供需关系及中端酒店的持续发力，酒店行业回暖趋势得到延续。

从 2015 年底、2016 年初开始，宏观经济数据、旅游行业数据等数据逐渐显现出餐饮旅游行业企稳和市场复苏的迹象。进入 2017 年，旅游行业的增长趋势越发明朗，各种经营数据支持了旅游业复苏的判断。 

餐饮行业总规模超过 3.8 万亿元，总量上保持 10%以上的温和增长较为确定，高于 GDP 增速和社零总额增速。“民以食为天”，我国的餐饮文化厚重，即使居民可支配收入有了大幅增长，恩格尔系数依然保持相对稳定。

基于酒店投资时钟框架，探讨行业周期中酒店经营指标与业绩指标的波动规律，寻找估值提升与获取超额收益的领先指标，把握行业周期性复苏下的投资机会。 

Caviar is a luxury food item that is usually consumed as an appetizer. Traditionally, roefrom the wild sturgeon found in the Caspian and Black seas are termed caviar. The roe from other species of fish such as paddlefish, salmon, and others are considered substitutes of caviar. The main varieties of sturgeon that are harvested for caviar are Beluga, sterlet, Ossetra, and Sevruga. The fish eggs can be fresh or pasteurized.However, the pasteurized variety has lower economic as well as culinary value.Because of overfishing of sturgeon for caviar production, most species of the fish are becoming extinct and have been declared as endangered species or rated vulnerable in the IUCN Red List of endangered species. From 2006, there has been a ban on the trade of wild caviar. Owing to the ban imposed on the fishing of sturgeon, players in the market have resorted to aquaculture to develop sturgeon for caviar production. The players are also investing in developing new methods to extract caviar without killing the fish.

2017 年上半年社会服务行业营收及业绩保持快速增长，58 家行业重点上市公司（除去异常和部分非主业公司）实现营业收入 752.85 亿元，同比增长 19.92%；实现归母净利润 59.22 亿元，同比增长 15.09%。去年同期营业收入和归母净利润增长率分别为 37.77%、19.92%。今年业绩增速略有下滑但仍保持高位。