商贸零售行业：海外复盘，迪士尼－布局IP全生态的娱乐帝国－IP系列深度之二

台湾经济预测 2025年第3季分析内容及统计资料

华安基金舒灏聚焦高景气精选个股,平衡业绩与主题挖掘超额-基金优选系列之八十八

2025 年 8 月，地方债发行量和净融资额环比、同比均减少。当月新增专项债和再融资债发行量环比均减少，特殊再融资债重启发行。1-8 月累计，新增专项债发行量占全年新增专项债限额的 74.2%，进度快于去年同期的 65.9%；用于置换隐债的再融资专项债发行进度超过 95.9%。

本框架以“低位盘整、量能确认、主题催化、同质去重、流动性落地”为主线，先 在近一个月内低位盘整的区间里寻找具备修复弹性，再用主题催化和成交量的边际放大来验证是否具备真实承接能力，随后在同一跟踪指数组内只保留具备交易优势的单只产品，并以既定的流动性阈值作为具体 ETF 的选择门槛。

传统基于事件驱动构建的择时策略较容易出现过拟合问题，且普遍存在稳健性较弱的问题，底层信号一旦衰减将明显影响整个策略的表现。因此本次报告提出了一种全自动化的择时策略生成框架，底层基于事件驱动思路生成信号。该框架可以在任意指标集的基础上挖掘出其中有效的信号，并构建对任意标的资产的择时信号。整个构建流程中尽量控制了数据挖掘的可能，采用滚动更新的机制避免过拟合情况发生；确保流程符合逻辑性、可解 释性等要求，能输出流程中所有的中间信息；框架也具有较好的泛化性，无需调整即可对不同标的进行测试，也因此计算速度较快；除了直接构建策略外，该择时框架也可以帮助我们初步探索未知的数据集，寻找其中具有择时价值的指标与事件。

Video games are digital games that can be played on standalone systems as well as through the Internet or other computer networks such as LAN. The software required to develop these games is known as game development software.

Cloud manufacturing refers to the utilization of cloud computing technologies to support the manufacturing industry, enabling the use of shared resources, services and data through an interconnected network. Cloud manufacturing market consists of sales, by entities (organizations, sole traders or partnerships), of cloud manufacturing hardware, software and services that provide a flexible, scalable and efficient way for manufacturers to access computational tools, manufacturing resources and services over the internet, without needing to invest in large-scale infrastructure. It transforms traditional manufacturing processes by integrating hardware, software and network resources into cloud platforms, which can be accessed on-demand.

Cryptocurrency exchange platforms facilitate the buying, selling and trading of digital assets, known as cryptocurrencies. These platforms serve as digital marketplaces where individuals and institutions can exchange cryptocurrencies either for fiat currencies, such as the US dollar or the euro, or for other cryptocurrencies. The cryptocurrency exchange platform market consists of sales, by entities (organizations, sole traders or partnerships), of products and services that facilitate the trading of cryptocurrencies for other assets, including fiat currencies and other digital currencies. These platforms act as intermediaries, allowing users to buy, sell and exchange various cryptocurrencies

近两年，大语言模型（LLM）与智能体（AI Agent）技术以颠覆性姿态重塑全球科技格局，从模型能力跃迁到产业深度融合，其发展速度与广度远超预 期。海外科技巨头 OpenAI、谷歌、Anthropic 等不断推陈出新，模型迭代升级进度明显加快，国内科技公司也在不断追赶，AI 行业的快速发展正在重塑各行业生态。