本篇专题我们专注梳理宁德时代的动力电池产能情况，以及通过2018 年与2020 年的项目对比，分析单GWH 设备投资金额的变化。

There has been a tremendous growth in hybrid vehicles all over the world, as these vehicles appeal to a much larger audience, when compared to full-electric vehicles. They combine the reliability, long-range drivability, and instant refueling benefits of petrol and diesel vehicles, with better fuel economy and smaller carbon footprint of electric vehicles. Globally, governments are offering many subsidies for customers purchasing electric and hybrid vehicles. For instance, in April 2016, a scheme worth USD 1.13 billion was introduced for plug-in electric vehicles. About USD 678 million was reserved for the purchase of subsidies, which went on till 2019. Another USD 339 million was allotted to finance the deployment of charging stations in cities and on the Autobahn highways. Nearly USD 113 million was allocated for purchasing electric cars for the federal government fleet.

The rising demand for automation combined with the growing application of IoT devices across various end-user ver ticals, such as heal thcare, consumer electronics, industrial, automotive, BFSI, and retail, are further witnessing growth in the adoption of IoT devices. According to the Internet & Television Association's estimates, by 2020, the number of IoT connected devices is expected to reach 50.1 billion from 34.8 billion in 2018. The growth can majorly be attributed to the integration of connectivity competence in a large number of devices and applications, along with the development of various networking protocols that have appreciably advanced the growth of the IoT chip market across various end-user industries. With the increase in sheer numbers of IoT devices, the chip requirement for building IoT devices is expected to skyrocket over the forecasted period. Along with this, the innovation in reducing energy consumption combined with miniaturization of chips is going to be the priority of manufacturers.

The report focuses on revenue generated from various industrial rubber materials as well as the end-use industries that utilize industrial rubber, including automotive and construction. Moreover, the report analyzes the current market trends of industrial rubber in different regions and suggests the future growth opportunities by analyzing government regulations & policies, thereby further increasing consumer acceptance for industrial rubber. The study includes Porter’s five forces analysis of the industry to determine the impact of suppliers, competitors, new entrants, substitutes, and buyers on the market growth. The key players in the global industrial rubber market are adopting different strategies, such as product launch, expansion, collaboration, agreement, and acquisition to compete against each other in the global competitive market. The market players profiled in this report are industrial rubber manufacturers, who serve the product globally to end-user industries. The data pertaining to market players and their strategic moves are gathered through annual reports and press releases of respective companies, various blogs available on their websites, and primary calls made to with experts in the industry.

业绩回顾：2020Q1 特斯拉实现营收59.85 亿美元（同比/环比分别+32%/-19%），高于市场预期的59 亿美元。归母净利润为1600 万美元，首度实现连续三个季度盈利（2019Q1 亏损7.02 亿美元、2019Q3 盈利1.43 亿美元、2019Q4盈利1.05 亿美元），且好于市场预期（市场预期亏2 亿美元）。摊薄后每股收益0.09 美元，去年同期美股亏损4.10 美元。调整后的EBITDA 为9.51 亿元，同比+514%。

19 年受经济增速下行、排放法规切换和新能源汽车补贴退坡等因素的叠加影响，汽车销量连续两年同比下降，行业收入和利润分别同比下滑1.6%和30.9%。受利润率下滑影响，行业ROE 继续下降1.1pct 至2.7%。分子版块看，19 年业绩表现：商用车>零部件>乘用车。20Q1 受疫情影响，行业业绩进一步承压，20Q1 业绩表现：零部件>乘用车>商用车。

新能源汽车消费坍塌，恢复进度不及燃油车。受海内外疫情影响，年初以来汽车消费出现大幅下滑，新能源汽车（EV+PHEV）一季度累计上险量10万台，同比下滑53%，而同期广义乘用车下滑39%，剔除新能源汽车后同比下滑38%。新能源内部结构上，EV下滑幅度高于PHEV。

行业整体承压，估值处于底部。2019 年汽车销售2575.4 万辆（-8.1%）。其中，乘用车销售2143.3 万辆（-9.5%），商用车销售432.2 万辆（-1.1%）。受疫情影响，2020 年Q1 汽车销售366.7 万辆（-42.4%），其中，乘用车销售287.3 万辆（-45.4%）；商用车销售79.4 万辆（-28.4%）。当前行业PB 约为1.54 倍，处于周期底部。

4 月29 日，特斯拉发布2020Q1 业绩，总营收59.85 亿美元，同比+32%；汽车业务营收51.32 亿美元，同比+38%；汽车业务毛利13.11 亿美元，同比+75%；汽车业务毛利率25.5%，同比+5.4pct；GAAP 净利润0.16 亿美元，non-GAAP 净利润2.27 亿美元，同比扭亏。

投资建议：乘用车销量有望逐步回暖并迎来拐点，重点推荐长安汽车、上汽集团、长城汽车等，关注广汇汽车；基建有望加码，环保加严、淘汰国三车与严查超载等因素影响，2020 年重卡有望维持高景气度，关注潍柴动力、中国重汽、威孚高科。零部件关注产品升级、客户拓展、低估值等细分领域，推荐华域汽车、 万里扬、凯众股份等。新能源汽车销量短期承压，长期仍有较大发展空间，重点推荐国内龙头比亚迪，以及受益特斯拉及大众 MEB 国产的拓普集团、宁波华翔、银轮股份、精锻科技等。辅助驾驶加速渗透，5G 推动车联网发展，推荐伯特利、均胜电子、德赛西威、保隆科技。