美国是一个成熟的汽车市场，新车需求基本见顶，2000-2019 年每年新车 销量在 1,750 万辆左右，典型的本土传统汽车制造商比如福特、通用等几 乎都没能持续给股东带来正回报。但受益汽车保有量的增加和车龄的老化， 同期美国后市场增长稳健，行业龙头公司收入和利润稳健增长驱动股价大 幅上涨，比如汽车配件服务公司汽车地带（AutoZone）过去 20 年股价上 涨 36 倍，奥莱利（O’Reilly）上涨 40 倍，二手车经销商车美仕（CarMax） 上涨 75 倍。随着中国汽车市场保有量持续增长和平均车龄提高，从事汽车 售后服务业务的公司将持续受益，推荐广汇汽车和福耀玻璃。

2020 年 3 月以来，国内新冠疫情已逐步得到控制，但海外疫情日趋严峻。 预计国内汽车产销量短期下降，后续有望逐步改善。海外疫情恶化，或将影 响零部件海外收入、供应链及国内消费能力。整车及零部件短期业绩承压， 后续有望逐步改善。本次疫情属于一次性冲击，长期来看不改变汽车行业整 体触底反弹的大趋势。刺激内需是可能方向，汽车行业有望受益，建议关注 乘用车、重卡、新能源、智能网联等受益标的，重点推荐长安汽车、上汽集 团、华域汽车、拓普集团等，关注潍柴动力、中国重汽等。

汽车行业指数 2 月宽幅震荡，涨跌幅位于申万行业指数第 20 名。2月 （2020.2.5-2020.3.16）全 A 指数涨跌幅为-1.02%，汽车行业涨跌幅为 -0.68%，领先大盘 0.34pct，位于 SW 一级行业中第 20 位。

 钴盐价格持续回落。本周国内钴盐价格延续前两周的回落节奏，其 中氯化钴（≥24.2%）价格下跌 3 元/千克，跌幅 4.7%；硫酸钴（≥ 20.5%）价格下跌 4 元/千克，跌幅 7.4%；氧化钴（≥72%）价格下 跌 3 元/千克，跌幅 1.5%；四氧化三钴（≥72%）价格下跌 6 元/千 克，跌幅 2.9%。2 月国内四氧化三钴产量约在 3600 吨左右，环比 减少 10%，同比减少 14.29%；硫酸钴产量约为 1200 金属吨，环比 下滑 7.69%，同比下滑 42.85%；四氧化三钴产量约在 3600 吨左右， 环比减少 10%，同比减少 14.29%。受疫情影响，预计 3 月份国内产 量仍将维持当前水平。

PHEV 带动欧洲新能源汽车市场高速增长。2020 年1 月欧洲市场新能源汽车销量7.47 万辆，同比增长121%，与全球-7%的变化幅度形成鲜明对比，且插电混动汽车（PHEV）的同比增速（174%）显著高于纯电动汽车（BEV）的同比增速（89%），其在当期新能源汽车销量中的占比达到48%。多方统计数据表明，2 月欧洲多个国家新能源汽车销量增速维持在100%以上。2020年1-2 月德国、挪威、法国、英国四国合计累计销量8.88 万辆，同比增长124.87%，其中BEV 和PHEV 增速分别为102.18%、170.70%。我们认为PHEV 的高增速有望贯穿全年，将为2020 年欧洲市场贡献重要增量。

Fluorochemicals can be defined as the chemical compounds containing fluorine. The report focuses on the current trends and future growth opportunities of various types of fluorochemicals such as fluorocarbons, fluoroelastomers, fluoropolymers, inorganics, and others. The end use of fluorochemicals analyzed in the market are electrical & electronics, petrochemicals, chemicals, aerospace, and others. Moreover, application areas are also studied in the report. These include surfactants, propellants, aluminum production, refrigerant, automobile, agrochemicals, and others. Furthermore, the study evaluates the current market trends and suggests future growth opportunities by analyzing government regulations & policies. The report further covers the strategies adopted by the key players to sustain the competitive environment and increase their market share.

In the current scenario, buyers consider the vehicle’s interior as an important feature while purchasing a car, truck, or an SUV. Upholstery is an integral part of the interior. As vehicle interior is becoming more elaborate, with contrasting surfaces and textures used to bring in the decorative and functional effect, automotive makers are considering new materials for the upholstery, with enhanced environmental performance. Fabric coatings, such as Scotchgard, also observed significant growth, as customers work to preserve the upscale interiors that they purchase. In general, the peripheral industries to the automotive upholstery industry are also experiencing steady growth. As upholstery continues to evolve and capture the attention of automotive buyers, the materials and tools used to maintain that upholstery naturally experience an increasing demand. Woven fabrics are used in dashboards, sun visors, seats and interior walls, and represent the fastest growing fabric type in the automotive upholstery market. Woven fabrics often consist of nylon, polyester, wool, or polypropylene, which have excellent performance characteristics. These materials are resistant to ultraviolet radiation and have reduced flammability, making them ideal for extreme environments sometimes found within vehicle interiors.

Inertial systems comprise IMUs in combination with high-performance sensors (gyroscopes, magnetometers, and accelerometers), to provide high-accuracy information about the surrounding environment, through relative movement. The powerful combination of IMUs with other onboard sensors, produces critical data increasing reliability of the vehicles and leading to new automation breakthroughs in automotive applications. The current generation of automobiles highly rely on the collection of data from various sensors used in the vehicle. Gyroscopes and accelerometers provide essential measurements for improving the control and stability of the vehicle. Both these sensors are liable to make significant noise at low frequency, resulting in low accuracy of the measurements, especially under the low-dynamic conditions. When these sensors are deployed in combination with inertial systems, both gyroscopes and accelerometers record accurate data regarding the rotation of wheels. This is very helpful in gathering data on wheel heading, roll and pitch estimation that stand to be key elements in managing the stability of a vehicle.

The air injection reaction (AIR) and exhaust gas recirculation (EGR) play an important part of the automotive exhaust and emission control system. The exhaust manifold acts as a pathway for the exhaust gases from the exhaust ports of the engine’s cylinder and the exhaust pipes diverts the exhaust gases to the rear of the vehicle. Exhaust systems that have one pipe are single exhaust systems and that have two pipes are dual exhaust systems. Engines such as V6 and V8 can have single or dual exhaust by installing a crossover pipe that is used to connect the exhaust from both the banks and channel it into one pipe. The global automotive exhaust system market is segmented on the basis of technology, fuel type, vehicle type, and region. By technology, the market is divided into Diesel Oxidation Catalyst (DOC), Diesel Particulate Filter (DPF), Selective catalytic reduction (SCR), Exhaust gas recirculation (EGR), Gasoline Particulate Filter (GPF), and others. By fuel type, it is bifurcated into gasoline and diesel. By vehicle type, it is categorized into passenger cars and commercial vehicles. By region, it is analyzed across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and LAMEA.

近期受疫情等因素影响汽车销量降幅较大，为应对消费低迷困 境，中央及地方政府多次提及稳定汽车消费，政策或成为影响今年车市走 势的关键因素之一。通过本篇报告，我们试图把“区域维度”作为主要线 索，对乘用车终端需求表现进行回顾，以便更好地理解政策的思路与弹性 以及区域市场的发展趋势。