材料工业是现代化工业体系的基石，每一轮技术革命和产业变革都与新材料的发现、发明和推广密不可分。投资新材料，投资的是未来新兴产业，投资的是产业结构转型升级。新材料多处于开发期或导入期，判断新材料所处产业 生命周期，本质上就是判断产业化的确定性和周期长短。其中，判断新材料所处生命周期，主要是关系到投资本源：1）投资新材料是主题投资，还是产业投资？2）退出新材料投资，应该跟踪什么样的指标？

The global AI in cologne market encompasses the integration and application of artificial intelligence technologies throughout the entire lifecycle of fragrance products for men

过去两年，锂电池行业激烈的“内卷式”竞争，产能过剩、“价格战”等问题让 整个行业陷入低迷，行业景气度也跌至历史低点。进入 2025 年，锂电池产业供需矛盾有所缓解，产业链各环节价格出现拐点迹象，部分锂电材料价格开始反弹，进入涨价周期。自 9 月中旬以来，六氟磷酸锂价格便开启快速上行通道；Mysteel 数据显示，自 9 月 16 日起，六氟磷酸锂一改此前的横盘态势，价格开始上涨，从当日的 56800 元/吨一路攀升至 10 月 13 日的 68800 元/吨，增幅达 21.13%。多氟多表示此次涨价主要由下游新能源与储能产业需求扩大、供给端产能集中且扩产谨慎的供需矛盾及原材料价格波动共同推动；短期内，市场供应紧平衡状态可能持续至 2026 年，价格仍有上行空间。我们认为六氟磷酸锂价格的快速上行有可能意味着部分锂电材料的供需矛盾已经得到缓解，并有望迎来涨价周期。

25 年初以来地产等需求呈现企稳态势，家电产量、汽车销量等数据保持增长。我们认为，伴随 2025 年以来行业资本开支增速显著下降，叠加“反内卷”有望助力供给端协同及落后产能出清，而内需有望进一步复苏及出口亚 非拉等支撑需求，大宗化工品有望逐步复苏。油价长期存在成本底部支撑， 具备增产降本能力及天然气增量的高分红企业具有配置机遇，推荐中国石油（A/H）；大宗化工方面，关注制冷剂、异氰酸酯等格局率先优化品种，以及有机硅/农药/PVA 等供需面有望改善并带来涨价弹性的品种，推荐巨化股 份/鲁西化工/华鲁恒升/皖维高新；下游制品/精细品方面，食饲药添加剂行业 Q4 需求旺季到来，以及原料成本改善助力盈利修复，推荐梅花生物/新和成； 出口方面，国内化工品具备成本优势和性价比，国内轮胎依托性价比优势仍有望持续提升全球份额，推荐森麒麟/赛轮轮胎；高股息资产方面，伴随资本开支下降等，主动分红意愿和能力或提升，磷资源有望维持至少 3 年高景气，推荐云天化/中海石油化学。

美容护理行业：胶原蛋白，技术支撑下的产业链协同与医美应用新趋势

202 年上半年，农药市场总体仍然处于供大于求的局面，行业竞争激烈，但农药库存逐步回归正常水平，部分产品价格出现回暖迹象，给行业发展带来了一定积极影响；烯草酮、百菌清、毒死蜱、阿维菌素、甲氨基阿维菌素苯甲酸盐等十几 个品种出现不同程度的涨价。整体来看国内农药价格目前仍处于历史低点，但部分品种已经出现止跌回升迹象。截至 2025 年 10 月 19 日，中农立华原药价格指 数报 74.73 点，同比下跌 0.07 点，跌幅 0.09%；除草剂原药价格指数报 85.79 点， 同比上涨 3.42%。

Caustic soda, also known as sodium hydroxide, is an odorless, highly corrosive, nonflammable white solid. It is generally produced as flakes or shiny pellets that create a slippery solution because it is highly water￾soluble. A 50% concentration of caustic soda is slightly viscous in nature. It is widely used as a general￾purpose industrial as well as commercial chemical in several process industries.

Fabric conditioners are cationic surfactants that contain fragrances (natural/artificial), coloring agents, and preservatives such as bronopol, formaldehyde, and chloride. They make the clothes soft and give long-lasting fragrance to garments. Fabric conditioners also make the cloth less static, easy to iron and maintain the shape of the garment for longer. Economic development is contributing to greater purchasing power and awareness about fabric conditioners in developing regions. The growing level of urbanization and the introduction of new products and technologies are some other factors driving the market.

Packaging resins are plastic materials used in the production of packaging solutions, offering durability, flexibility, and protection for various products. Common types include polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP), and polyethylene terephthalate (PET), which are widely used in industries such as food and beverages, healthcare, and consumer goods. These resins provide moisture resistance, strength, and lightweight properties, making them essential for both rigid and flexible packaging applications.

Lithium carbonate is a lithium salt of carbonate consisting of lithium, carbon, and oxygen elements. Lithium carbonate is a white, crystalline powder that is commonly used in industrial applications, with its primary significance in the field of energy storage, particularly in the production of lithium-ion batteries.