行情回顾:行业年涨跌幅排位靠后。2024年年初至今(2024年12月13 日)，纺服板块涨跌幅+2.32%， 轻工板块涨跌幅为+3.89%，同期沪深 300 指数涨跌幅为+14.63%;在申万 31 个一级子行业中，纺服板块位居第 25 位，轻工制造板块位居第 24 位 。从估值看，2024 年年初至今(2024 年 12 月 13 日)，纺服板块 PE(TTM)为 24.9 倍，处于估值中枢水位;轻 工板块 PE(TTM)为 27.5 倍，处于估值 75%位数水平。从纺服板块来看， 行业处于估值低位，且有上行趋势;从轻工板块来看，行业整体估值水位 略高，主要由于地产利好政策带动家居板块的估值修复。我们认为，1) 当前纺织 服装 板块估 值处于 低位 震荡期 ，市场 对下游 悲观 预期已 充分计 价，伴随消费政策刺激，纺服板块有望迎来估值修复。2)当前轻工板块 估值修复向好，随着地产政策的持续发力，以及家居补贴政策加持，轻工 板块估值有望保持上行趋势。

Basketball is a handball sport. It is played between two teams on a court. Each team has five players. The players wear jerseys. The players of a team wear jerseys with the same design and color, representing the club or the country they are playing for. The participants of the home team wear lighter-colored apparel, and the players of visiting teams wear darker-colored ones. The vendors of the global basketball apparel market offer specialized sports apparel, including jerseys, jackets, pants, shorts, and hoodies. The players sport these collections of apparel while playing the sport.

The scope of the report covers analysis pertaining to the retail sales of various women’s intimate apparel such as brassiere, briefs, shapewear, swimwear, sports and activewear, and sleepwear, made from different fabrics, using varied processes, available in mass and high-end ranges, through retail channels such as supermarkets/hypermarkets, specialty retailers, fashion retailers, online retail stores, and others, across the globe.

Global Waterproof Breathable Fabric Market Size and Share Analysis - Growth Trends and Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

The base currency is considered as the United States Dollar (USD). Conversion of other currencies is based on the average exchange rates of the respective review period years. The exchange rate conversion for the forecast period is determined according to the base year’s conversion rates. BASE YEAR, REVIEW FORECAST TERMS Market-size estimations for the forecast years are in real terms. Nominal values are only considered. Inflation is not to be considered. PRIMARY RESEARCH Distribution of the primary interviews conducted is based on the regional share of the market and the presence of key players in each of the demographics pertaining to the market studied.

Nike 历史复盘：Nike 通过气垫技术、Shox 缓震技术、react 泡棉、pebax 泡棉等材料和结构持续拓展跑鞋、篮球鞋、休闲鞋市场，引领行业发展潮流，带来估值和业绩的双重提升。但从 2020 年以来公司产品创新力度减弱+渠道发展失衡，客群被阿迪、hoka、ON 等品牌抢夺，业绩及估值均下滑。

Q3 订单延续修复，产品&客户结构优化下利润弹性较优。收入端，海外品牌库存去化逐渐步入尾声，制造订单低基数下迎来修复，Q3 营收&业绩板块整体延续修复，营收同比 +7.9%，成品制造公司受益于份额提升订单表现更优。利润端，Q3 在产品&客户结构优化下板块毛利率显著提升，虽然管理费用率由于部分公司薪酬绩效计提有所提升，但板块归母净利润 仍同比+12.4%优于收入。

品牌服饰:受宏观消费环境低迷影响，24Q3品牌服饰板块(A股)业绩转弱，营收/归母净利润分别同比-8.6%/-59.4%， 净利下滑幅度较大，主因费用投放较多，存货和现金流压力有所增加。结构上运动服饰品牌流水相对稳健，高端女装经营杠 杆相对较重、利润承压明显。随9月底政府一揽子宽松政策出台，10月品牌服饰流水有所改善，我们预计部分品牌恢复至双 位数增长。 投资建议:随政策向实体经济逐步传导，服装消费有望回暖复苏，其中:1)复苏早期，相对需求刚性和性价比定位品牌有 望优先受益，推荐波司登、安踏体育、特步国际、361度、海澜之家、水星家纺。2)复苏中后期，随消费者信心企稳，消 费升级相关品牌可能逐步受益、释放业绩弹性，建议关注李宁。

品牌服饰:受宏观消费环境低迷影响，24Q3品牌服饰板块(A股)业绩转弱，营收/归母净利润分别同比-8.6%/-59.4%， 净利下滑幅度较大，主因费用投放较多，存货和现金流压力有所增加。结构上运动服饰品牌流水相对稳健，高端女装经营杠 杆相对较重、利润承压明显。随9月底政府一揽子宽松政策出台，10月品牌服饰流水有所改善，我们预计部分品牌恢复至双 位数增长