2024年板块复盘:回顾2024年，轻工行业整体及各子板块涨幅落后于大盘，其中造纸、个护板块涨幅优于家居 、包装。全年来看，1)以嘉益股份、匠心家居为代表的部分出口标的在需求强韧性+盈利高弹性下有亮眼表现 。2)以自由点、冷酸灵、润本为代表的国货品牌崛起，持续抢占外资品牌份额，实现产品结构优化和渠道扩张 ，业绩优异。3)家居品类受下游需求收缩影响增速下行，但9月以来地产相关支持政策出台，以旧换新拉动家 居消费成效显著，龙头家居公司订单回暖，需求有望触底回升。基本面看家居有望在国补催化下改善，部分国货 个护品牌成长空间广阔，配置价值较高。

AI 的应用正在推动纺织服装行业研发设计、质量检测、生产制造、 供应链管理、营销、消费等各个领域实现数智化转型。 AI 大模型实 现高效设计，准确把握市场需求。依托计算机视觉、自然语言处理 技术以及生成式人工智能，AI 大模型能够自动进行服装款式、面料 与版型等研发工作，将大幅缩短企业研发周期，降低研发成本。此 外，AI 大模型通过分析各大电商平台、社交媒体、时尚专业等大数 据对服装设计流行趋势进行预测，帮助设计师高效产出更符合市场需 求的时装款式，提升爆款率，进一步助推行业柔性化设计生产交付

行情回顾:行业年涨跌幅排位靠后。2024年年初至今(2024年12月13 日)，纺服板块涨跌幅+2.32%， 轻工板块涨跌幅为+3.89%，同期沪深 300 指数涨跌幅为+14.63%;在申万 31 个一级子行业中，纺服板块位居第 25 位，轻工制造板块位居第 24 位 。从估值看，2024 年年初至今(2024 年 12 月 13 日)，纺服板块 PE(TTM)为 24.9 倍，处于估值中枢水位;轻 工板块 PE(TTM)为 27.5 倍，处于估值 75%位数水平。从纺服板块来看， 行业处于估值低位，且有上行趋势;从轻工板块来看，行业整体估值水位 略高，主要由于地产利好政策带动家居板块的估值修复。我们认为，1) 当前纺织 服装 板块估 值处于 低位 震荡期 ，市场 对下游 悲观 预期已 充分计 价，伴随消费政策刺激，纺服板块有望迎来估值修复。2)当前轻工板块 估值修复向好，随着地产政策的持续发力，以及家居补贴政策加持，轻工 板块估值有望保持上行趋势。

Basketball is a handball sport. It is played between two teams on a court. Each team has five players. The players wear jerseys. The players of a team wear jerseys with the same design and color, representing the club or the country they are playing for. The participants of the home team wear lighter-colored apparel, and the players of visiting teams wear darker-colored ones. The vendors of the global basketball apparel market offer specialized sports apparel, including jerseys, jackets, pants, shorts, and hoodies. The players sport these collections of apparel while playing the sport.

The scope of the report covers analysis pertaining to the retail sales of various women’s intimate apparel such as brassiere, briefs, shapewear, swimwear, sports and activewear, and sleepwear, made from different fabrics, using varied processes, available in mass and high-end ranges, through retail channels such as supermarkets/hypermarkets, specialty retailers, fashion retailers, online retail stores, and others, across the globe.

Global Waterproof Breathable Fabric Market Size and Share Analysis - Growth Trends and Forecasts (2024 - 2029)

The base currency is considered as the United States Dollar (USD). Conversion of other currencies is based on the average exchange rates of the respective review period years. The exchange rate conversion for the forecast period is determined according to the base year’s conversion rates. BASE YEAR, REVIEW FORECAST TERMS Market-size estimations for the forecast years are in real terms. Nominal values are only considered. Inflation is not to be considered. PRIMARY RESEARCH Distribution of the primary interviews conducted is based on the regional share of the market and the presence of key players in each of the demographics pertaining to the market studied.

Nike 历史复盘：Nike 通过气垫技术、Shox 缓震技术、react 泡棉、pebax 泡棉等材料和结构持续拓展跑鞋、篮球鞋、休闲鞋市场，引领行业发展潮流，带来估值和业绩的双重提升。但从 2020 年以来公司产品创新力度减弱+渠道发展失衡，客群被阿迪、hoka、ON 等品牌抢夺，业绩及估值均下滑。

Q3 订单延续修复，产品&客户结构优化下利润弹性较优。收入端，海外品牌库存去化逐渐步入尾声，制造订单低基数下迎来修复，Q3 营收&业绩板块整体延续修复，营收同比 +7.9%，成品制造公司受益于份额提升订单表现更优。利润端，Q3 在产品&客户结构优化下板块毛利率显著提升，虽然管理费用率由于部分公司薪酬绩效计提有所提升，但板块归母净利润 仍同比+12.4%优于收入。