关键词：汽车；所有权；汽车所有权政策；效果评价
摘 要：
内 容：At the beginning of the catching-up phenomenon of personal motorization in China, two very different car ownership policies were implemented in megacities: Beijing adopted a no intervention policy and Shanghai adopted a license quota policy. This difference provides an opportunity to examine policy impacts on car ownership and usage. The effects of the two policies on car ownership levels and delays in the process of personal motorization were examined.The results in Beijing indicate that an increase in income is the dominant factor driving the growth of car ownership in China. The forecast result in Shanghai indicates that the limitation policy has suppressed car ownership by at least twice as many individuals as the number of individuals who actually own cars.