关键词：劳动市场；通货膨胀；货币政策；财政政策
摘 要：In the absence of adverse events, growth in advanced economies should strengthen gradually after the middle of 2013 and through 2014, helped by on-going support from accommodative monetary policies,improving financial market conditions and a gradual restoration of confidence. The upturn continues to diverge across countries, with the United States likely to grow faster than otherlarge OECD economies. Euro area growth remains constrained by the lingering effects of the euro area crisis, the on-going drag from fiscal consolidation and weaknesses in credit markets. Various policy influences seem likely to result in an irregular growth pattern in Japan.Within an overall pattern of only modest and gradual acceleration, growth outcomes in emerging market economies are also diverging,with China in the lead and growth in others restrained by structural factors, with stagflationary tendencies in some.
目 录：Editorial: Multiple paths to recovery

Chapter 1. General Assessment of the Macroeconomic Situation

Summary

Introduction

Key forces actin

The near-term projections

Risks to the outlook

Economic policy requirements in the major countries

Chapter 2. Developments in Individual OECD Countries

Chapter 4. Growth Prospects and Fiscal Requirements over the Long Term

Summary

Long-term growth projections for the global economy

The medium-term outlook for public finances

Structural policies can boost growth

Statistical Annex

Boxes

1.1. Policy and other assumptions underlying the projections

1.2. Short-term prospects in the automobile industry

1.3. Policies to ease global current account rebalancing

1.4. Returning to debt sustainability in Japan: The government’s three-pillar strategy

1.5. Macro-prudential regulation

4.1. The modelling framework for long-term economic projections

4.2. Assumptions in the baseline long-term scenario