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区块链行业:以太坊生态之Layer2,技术融合,应用为王-深度报告
投资建议:本报告仅致力于“分析”各Layer2 代币已经形成的市值,并 非建议投资代币本身。我们建议关注:1)加密代币交易服务商:Coinbase (COIN)、Square、Paypal、Robinhood 等;2)投资了加密资产的相关 标的:MicroStrategy(MSTR)等。
1 为什么要关注Layer2(二层网络)? ................................................................................................................... 4
1.1 Layer2,以太坊主网上的“高架桥” ............................................................................................................... 4
1.1.1 更快,可比以太坊主网快867 倍以上 ................................................................................................ 4
1.1.2 更便宜,可低至以太坊主网2% ........................................................................................................ 4
1.2 当前Layer2 TVL 接近60 亿美元,占以太坊15% ........................................................................................ 5
2 Layer2 代币FDV 当前座次:Optimism 最高,约45 亿美元..................................................................................... 6
2.1 市值 ......................................................................................................................................................... 7
2.1.1 当前市值: 均未超过10 亿美元 ....................................................................................................... 7
2.1.2 最大流通市值(FDV):OP>DYDX>LRC>Metis>BOBA .................................................................... 7
2.2 锁仓额(TVL)相关 .................................................................................................................................. 7
2.2.1 当前市值/TVL:LRC>BOBA>Metis>DYDX>OP ............................................................................... 7
2.2.2 最大流通市值(FDV)/TVL:BOBA>DYDX>LRC>OP>Metis ........................................................... 8
2.3 收入相关(P/S): FDV/年化收入,OP>LRC>DYDX .................................................................................. 8
3 Layer2 赛道已发币项目概况 ................................................................................................................................ 10
3.1 Optimism:45 亿美元,前身是以太坊侧链Plasma ...................................................................................... 10
3.2 dYdX:16 亿美元,将基于Cosmos 推出V4 版本 ......................................................................................... 11
3.3 Loopring:5 亿美元,第一个zkRollup 主网 ................................................................................................ 12
3.4 Metis Andromeda:3 亿美元,分叉自Optimism ......................................................................................... 12
3.5 Boba Network:2 亿美元,分叉自Optimism,支持快速提款 ....................................................................... 13
4 Layer2 代币当前市值座次形成的关键驱动因素是什么? .................................................................................... 13
4.1 弱相关:上线时间,2021 年集中上线 ........................................................................................................ 14
4.2 弱相关:代币释放周期,一致性较低 ..................................................................................................... 14
4.3 相关:技术,乐观汇总(OR)短期略胜于零知识证明(ZK) ...................................................................... 15
4.4 相关:分配,市场更看重对“社区”的激励,而非“团队”和“投资者” ................................................................ 17
4.5 强相关:明星应用为王,构筑长青基业 ...................................................................................................... 19
4.5.1 Optimism:合作项目多达192 个,Synthetix 和Uniswap V3 亮眼 ....................................................... 19
4.5.2 dYdX:单一应用链,专注做好交易 ................................................................................................... 19
4.5.3 Loopring:与美国“散户概念股”Gamestop 合作推出NFT 交易所 .......................................................... 19
4.5.4 Metis Andromeda:DEX 为主,即将上线链游 .................................................................................... 20
4.5.5 Boba Network:47 个合作伙伴加持,桥类项目占比最大 .................................................................... 20
4.6 强相关:市场更看重协议创收能力,而非锁仓金额(TVL) ......................................................................... 20
5 展望:还有哪些Layer2 项目将发币? ................................................................................................................. 22
5.1 Arbitrum:TVL 在Layer2 中最高,永续合约应用GMX 亮眼 ......................................................................... 22
5.2 StarkNet:已完成D 轮融资 ....................................................................................................................... 23
风险提示 .............................................................................................................................................................. 24