关键词：全球经济；宏观经济形势；综合评价；前景展望
摘 要：The recovery from the Great Recession has been slow and arduous, and has at times threatened to derail altogether. The major advanced economies are finally gaining momentum. Private-sector confidence is rebuilding. After years of weakness, investment and trade have started to rebound. While unemployment remains unacceptably high, the labour market situation is improving in most countries and has stopped deteriorating virtually throughout the advanced economies. On the other hand, the pace of growth in the major emerging market economies has slowed. Part of this deceleration is benign, reflecting cyclical slowdowns from overheated starting positions - the growth rates now seen in China are undoubtedly more sustainable from both economic and environmental perspectives than the double-digit pace of a few years ago. However, managing the credit slowdown and the risks that built up during the period of easy global monetary conditions could be a major challenge.
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