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食品饮料行业:整体表现稳健,内部分化仍存-2021年年报及2022年一季报业绩综述
2021 年,食品饮料(中信)板块共实现营业收入9018.98 亿元,同比增长11.01%,实现归母净利润1568.71 亿元,同比增长9.79%,行业整体增长符合预期。从数据看,板块整体营收增速略超过净利润增速,或与上游成本高企影响企业经营业绩有关。从子板块营收增速来看,前三名分别为非乳饮料(22.60%)>其他酒(19.20%)>白酒(17.90%);而净利润增速方面乳制品(44.31%)>啤酒(28.09%)>非乳饮料(18.87%)。酒类经营情况整体好于大众食品,主因白酒、啤酒成本转移能力较强,大众食品作为必选消费提价空间有限,因此受上游原材料成本压力较大。
1.整体依然稳健,内部分化明显 ................................................................................................................................... 6
1.1 白酒 .................................................................................................................................................................... 7
1.2 大众品 ................................................................................................................................................................ 8
2.可选优于必选 酒类优于食品 ................................................................................................................................... 12
2.1 白酒 .................................................................................................................................................................. 13
2.2 大众品 .............................................................................................................................................................. 14
3. 开年持续下行 开启阶段反弹 ................................................................................................................................. 18
3.1 行情回顾 .......................................................................................................................................................... 18
3.2 估值 .................................................................................................................................................................. 18
3.3 北向资金跟踪 .................................................................................................................................................. 19
4.投资建议 ..................................................................................................................................................................... 21
5.风险提示 ..................................................................................................................................................................... 21