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电气设备行业:风电结构性机会凸显,大型化海上化带动整机毛利-简评报告
大型化海上化带动成本下降及整机毛利修复。全年陆上风电新增装机预计30-40GW,海上预计6-10GW,装机形势好于此前预期,总结今年风电行业发展将呈现出几大趋势和特点:大型化带来质变级别的快速降本,上游零部件降价明显,整机毛利率修复可期;海风抢装显著拉动业绩,结合高毛利率属性,整机龙头利润增速将远高于营收。
1 本周观点 ........................................................................................................................................... 1
1.1 风电行业结构性机会凸显,大型化海上化带动整机毛利修复 ........................................ 2
1.2 下游需求再超预期,中游景气持续受益 ............................................................................................................ 2
1.3 光伏产业链博弈持续,关注硅料端超额收益 .................................................................................................... 3
2 行情回顾 .......................................................................................................................................................................... 4
2.1 行业表现 ................................................................................................................................................................ 4
2.2 个股表现 ................................................................................................................................................................ 6
2.3 估值表现 ................................................................................................................................................................ 7
3 行业跟踪 ........................................................................................................................................................................... 8
3.1 行业要闻 ................................................................................................................................................................ 8
3.2 主要上市公司公告 .............................................................................................................................................. 10
3.3 产业链价格 .......................................................................................................................................................... 11