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食品饮料行业:股东会密集,整体信号积极-5月白酒战报
5 月散瓶茅台批价持续上行,五粮液、泸州老窖基本面稳健,回款进度均符合预期,下半年中秋旺季五粮液普五批价有望站稳千元,值得关注。
一、高端名酒:基本面稳健,二季度无忧 ............................................................................................................ 4
1.1 贵州茅台:散瓶批价持续上行,二季度确认非标收入 ................................................................................. 4
1.2 五粮液:厂家话语权显著增强,全面进入改革红利释放期 ............................................................................ 6
1.3 泸州老窖:回款仍快,会战模式调整 .............................................................................................................. 8
二、次高端地方酒:消费升级快速,次高端产品持续受益 ..................................................................................... 9
2.1 洋河股份:股东大会反馈积极,经营拐点正逐步证实 ................................................................................. 9
2.2 山西汾酒:回款进度仍快,青花引领核心增量 ............................................................................................ 10
2.3 古井贡酒:徽酒单寡头格局明确,全国化推进目标坚定 ......................................................................... 11
2.4 今世缘:四开正式换新升级,业绩仍处快速增长通道 ..................................................................................... 12
三、二级市场回顾 ................................................................................................................................................... 13
投资建议 ................................................................................................................................................................. 14
风险提示 ................................................................................................................................................................ 14