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餐饮旅游行业:跨省团队旅游恢复,7月离岛免税快速增长-月报
2020 年7 月沪深300 指数上涨12.75%,申万休闲服务行业上涨41.39%,行业跑赢市场28.64 个百分点,位列全部申万28 个一级行业第1 位。其中,景点上涨7.72%,旅游综合上涨53.38%,酒店上涨21.37%,餐饮上涨10.29%,其他休闲服务上涨24.32%。截至2020 年7 月底,餐饮旅游行业市盈率为119.73 倍(整体法,TTM),高于上月末的84.33 倍,较沪深300 的估值溢价率为855.43%,绝对估值和估值溢价持续上升。
1.月度市场行情回顾 ....................................................................................................................................................... 5
1.1 休闲服务行业涨跌幅位于全部一级行业首位 ................................................................................................. 5
1.2 行业市盈率较7 月上升 ..................................................................................................................................... 6
2.整体防控形势向好,新疆辽宁有所反复 .................................................................................................................... 7
3.跨省团队旅游恢复,景区游客承载量上调 ................................................................................................................ 8
4.国外疫情无明显改善,出境游数据大幅下滑 ............................................................................................................ 8
5.受政策调整利好离岛免税7 月快速增长 .................................................................................................................. 11
6.酒店出租率受疫情影响大幅下滑 .............................................................................................................................. 11
7.投资建议 ..................................................................................................................................................................... 13
8.风险提示 ..................................................................................................................................................................... 14