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建材行业:迎接旺季盈利,迎接格局变迁-2020年中报综述
2020 年上半年我们重点覆盖建材行业上市公司合计实现营业收入2730 亿元,同比下滑1%;实现归母净利润合计330 亿元,同比下滑4%;行业毛利率为29.19%,同比降低1.3 个百分点;净利率为12.10%,同比降低0.4 个百分点。各项指标均出现小幅下滑,同疫情影响有关。
1 受疫情影响,水泥玻璃经营情况同比下滑 ............................................................................... 4
2 水泥:二季度业绩回暖,全年盈利有望维持高位 ................................................................... 4
2.1 上半年业绩回顾 ....................................................................................................................................... 4
2.2 二季度业绩回顾 ....................................................................................................................................... 5
2.3 水泥需求逐步改善,看好下半年旺季需求............................................................................................ 7
2.4 下半年展望 ............................................................................................................................................... 8
2.5 投资建议 ................................................................................................................................................... 8
3 玻璃行业:需求向好,行业格局改善 ....................................................................................... 9
3.1 玻璃行业实现基本面反转 ....................................................................................................................... 9
3.2 投资建议 ................................................................................................................................................. 11
4 玻纤:底部显现,景气向上 ..................................................................................................... 12
4.1 需求:具备总量增长和结构优化的双重逻辑 ...................................................................................... 13
4.2 供给紧平衡,盈利有望提升 ................................................................................................................. 14
4.3 投资策略:推荐中国巨石、中材科技、长海股份 .............................................................................. 16
中国巨石:经营拐点显现,看好下半年业绩改善 ...................................................................................... 16
长海股份:经营情况边际改善,扩产能打开成长空间 .............................................................................. 17
5 其他建材:龙头市占率逆势提升 ............................................................................................. 18
5.1 防水篇:业绩较快增长,盈利能力大幅提升 ...................................................................................... 19
东方雨虹:业绩稳步增长,看好全年表现 ................................................................................................. 20
5.2 北新建材:Q2 扣非净利增速转正,看好下半年业绩表现 ................................................................ 21
5.3 帝欧家居:二季度经营回暖,看好下半年业绩表现 .......................................................................... 22
5.4 伟星新材:现金流优异,看好下半年经营改善 .................................................................................. 23
5.5 三棵树:盈利快速改善,规模效应持续显现 ...................................................................................... 24