行业研究报告题录
电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业(2014年第32期)
(报告加工时间:2014-11-17 -- 2014-11-23)

行业资讯

境内分析报告

  • 能源竞争情报-第520期
    本报告从能源行业事件分析;竞争环境、竞争对手、行业数据等几个方面进行了分析评论。
  • 电力-第518期
    报告从主要发电企业集团动态、电力产业环境、国内电网动态、电力设备行业信息、港台电力行业信息、国际动态等几个方面进行了分析评论。
  • 我国大力发展天然气的风险因素评估和对策建议
    2004年西气东输管道的正式商业运作,标志着我国天然气进入快速发展期。近10年来,我国已形成了“西气东输、海气登陆、就近供应"的供气格局,天然气行业发展具备了一定的基础。天然气绝对消费量已从2004年的341亿立方米增长到2013年的1640亿立方米,我国已超过伊朗成为世界第三大天然气消费国。然而,随着经济的快速发展,我国环境压力持续增大。为此,国务院推出了大气污染防治行动计划(国发[2013]37号)等环境政策。天然气作为实现节能减排和治理大气污染最现实的清洁能源,进一步加大发展力度势在必行。笔者拟在此背景下,综合评价我国天然气资源、市场、基础设施现状及水平,探讨未来天然气行业的定位以及实现“大力发展"所需要的基础条件;基于“大力发展"的视角,对我国未来天然气供应能否满足市场需求目标,基础设施建设能力能否与市场规模相匹配,下游天然气利用能否适应上游发展速度、实现均衡发展,不同用户在未来市场条件下的承受能力等问题和风险进行评估,并根据评估结果,提出具有可实施性的保障措施建议,为促进我国天然气快速发展提供有针对性的参考意见。
  • 我国煤炭需求峰值预测及应对
    在当前资源环境形势日益严峻的背景下,加强我国煤炭需求峰值预测,提前做好产能规划与部署,对于科学推动煤炭消费总量控制,实现煤炭产业健康、稳定和可持续发展意义重大。本研究基于计量经济学理论,针对改革开放后(1978-2013年)的样本数据,构建了基于煤炭需求的多因素协整模型(CM)、误差修正模型(ECM)和向量误差修正模型(VECM),比较发现,ECM的模型性能和拟合效果更佳;随后,基于ECM对未来我国煤炭的需求峰值进行了预测和分析,结果表明,我国煤炭需求峰值预计出现在2020年,峰值水平为45亿吨;2020年前,煤炭需求量年均增幅3.9%,2020年后开始出现下降,年均降幅0.76%,到2030年降至42亿吨。面对即将到来的煤炭峰值,政府管理部门应及早谋划、加强应对,切实推动煤炭产业转型升级和可持续发展。
  • 新能源-第378期
    报告从行业环境、太阳能、风能、生物质能、新能源汽车等几个方面进行了分析及评论。

境外分析报告

  • 全球智能电网管理服务市场报告(2014-2018年)
    Smart grid managed services refer to the synchronization of various smart grid software and hardware technologies and their related operational services such as deployment of smart meters and AMIs and integration of renewable energy with smart grids. These smart grid services are offered to various end-users such as power utilities and IPPs. Smart grid technology enables two-way communication between the utilities and their customers. Deployment of smart grid technologies requires a major operational change because it involves the integration of various advanced technologies with smart grids. Some of these technologies are T&D automation, wired and wireless communication, high-voltage transmission lines, demand response solutions, and home energy management applications.
  • 全球智能太阳能市场报告(2014-2018年)
    Smart solar is the advancement in the existing solar energy technology system. This technology provides enhanced integration, support, communication, distribution, monitoring, and planning capabilities in the energy delivery systems. The introduction of such enhanced technologies in components and services has led to an increase in demand for smart solar systems.

外文技术报告

  • 最佳的生物燃料:从柳枝生化生产乙醇和稷脂肪酸乙酯的比较分析
    In the current study, processes to produce either ethanol or a representative fatty acid ethyl ester (FAEE) via the fermentation of sugars liberated from lignocellulosic materials pretreated in acid or alkaline environments are analyzed in terms of economic and environmental metrics. Simplified process models are introduced and employed to estimate process performance, and Monte Carlo analyses were carried out to identify key sources of uncertainty and variability. We find that the near-term performance of processes to produce FAEE is significantly worse than that of ethanol production processes for all metrics considered, primarily due to poor fermentation yields and higher electricity demands for aerobic fermentation. In the longer term, the reduced cost and energy requirements of FAEE separation processes will be at least partially offset by inherent limitations in the relevant metabolic pathways that constrain the maximum yield potential of FAEE from biomass-derived sugars.
  • 弗吉尼亚从藻类生物柴油中开发新的替代能源
    The overall objective of this study was to select chemical processing equipment, install and operate that equipment to directly convert algae to biodiesel via a reaction patented by Old Dominion University (Pat. No. US 8,080,679B2). This reaction is a high temperature (250-330 degrees C) methylation reaction utilizing tetramethylammonium hydroxide (TMAH) to produce biodiesel. As originally envisioned, algal biomass could be treated with TMAH in methanol without the need to separately extract triacylglycerides (TAG). The reactor temperature allows volatilization and condensation of the methyl esters whereas the spent algae solids can be utilized as a high-value fertilizer because they are minimally charred. During the course of this work and immediately prior to commencing, we discovered that glycerol, a major by-product of the conventional transesterification reaction for biofuels, is not formed but rather three methoxylated glycerol derivatives are produced. These derivatives are high-value specialty green chemicals that strongly upgrade the economics of the process, rendering this approach as one that now values the biofuel only as a by-product, the main value products being the methoxylated glycerols. A horizontal agitated thin-film evaporator (one square foot heat transfer area) proved effective as the primary reactor facilitating the reaction and vaporization of the products, and subsequent discharge of the spent algae solids that are suitable for supplementing petrochemical-based fertilizers for agriculture. Because of the size chosen for the reactor, we encountered problems with delivery of the algal feed to the reaction zone, but envision that this problem could easily disappear upon scale-up or can be replaced economically by incorporating an extraction process. The objective for production of biodiesel from algae in quantities that could be tested could not be met, but we implemented use of soybean oil as a surrogate TAG feed to overcome this limitation.

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