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哥伦比亚银行与金融服务报告 - 2018年第4季度
Colombia's real GDP growth will accelerate in the coming quarters, as private consumption picks up. Higher oil prices and
the inauguration of president-elect Iván Duque will alleviate uncertainty and bolster investment. Private consumption will be the main driver of economic growth in the coming quarters as borrowing costs and inflation remain
low. The incoming administration of president-elect Iván Duque of the centre-right Centro Democrático (CD) party will support
investment and business activity. We forecast real GDP growth of 2.6% in 2018 and 3.2% in 2019, up from 1.8% in 2017.
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波兰保险业报告(2018-2022年)
The total premiums in Poland’s insurance sector in 2017 stood at PLN 62.4bn or 3.1% of GDP. This share
inched up by 0.1 pp in 2017 after two years of stagnation.
The sector is important for the economy, both as a provider of jobs (it employs more than 250,000
persons) and as a substantial investor in both treasury instruments and private companies, with
assets totalling PLN 196.6bn at the end of 2017, up by 6.2% y/y.
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哥伦比亚银行业(2018-2019年)
In 2017, Colombia’s banking sector continued to demonstrate resilience to tepid GDP growth, posting
annual growth rates of 9% and 6% for total loans and total assets (measured in COP) respectively. In
particular, mortgage loans experienced considerable expansion. In the context of weaker economic
growth, profit margins decreased and delinquencies increased throughout the sector; however,
solvency and liquidity remained high. Continuing efforts by banks and regulatory authorities to
comply with the Basel III Framework have contributed to the robustness the sector has shown in
recent years. At the start of 2018, the loan portfolio continued rising with consumer loans posting a
real annualised growth of 4.6% at the end of Q1 2018, doubling the rate of real GDP growth of 2.2% of
the same period. According to estimates by the Central Bank, bank loans are expected to increase by
12% y/y in nominal terms and total assets are forecast to expand by 11.5% y/y in 2018.